Current Cyprus Talks are now expected to fail
Even though Derviş Eroğlu, who is currently expected to be the new north Cyprus President, has said that talks will continue after the Presidential elections in April, the talks are now expected to fail. At the very least, according to south Cyprus opposition leader, Nicos Anastassiades, “they would not be as helpful as we would have wanted to provide the people with a better answer from what was proposed and rejected (in 2004).”
Evidence that current north Cyprus Prime Minister Derviş Eroğlu is set to win was apparent in a recent poll which gave him 60.8% of the vote in the first round with only 29% going to north Cyprus President Talat.
In an interview with the Daily Telegraph President Talat said, “the pace of the talks is too slow. We need a quicker round of talks in early 2010.” He also stated his belief that 3 days of all-day talks would give the two leaders “the opportunity to concentrate on the most difficult issues.”
Observers who were positive about the current talks based their optimism on the two old friends, Christofias and Talat, coming up with a plan which would be acceptable to both sides of the divide. These same observers believe such a plan is unlikely with Eroğlu representing the north.
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Then the best solution will be if the two ‘old friends’ codge together any plan at all with the near certainty that the South will reject it and then Eroglu can suggest that two separate states are formalised. The problem then becomes how can the south be persuaded to accept partition as a solution. If it never will accept that, then there can be no solution. Some theorists would say that if there is no solution to a problem then truly there is no problem. Statement of the problems that would offer solutions are the GCs think the North is theirs -the solution – acceptance that it is not. The North are constrained in many ways -eg trade and flights -the solution – the GCs and the world cease the embargoes. That illustrates why the present negotiations will fail, because the parties are not equal and the platform on which negotiation takes place is owned by the GCs
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Sam_andira,
Anyone in the south would wish that you were right but in fact most will speak more or less the way you do….only in their eyes the Turkish call the shots.
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